| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $75,500 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 14% | 10¢ | 14¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 11% | 11¢ | 12¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 4% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 4% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $790 | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | — | $621 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 13% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $615 | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 6% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $590 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 4% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $576 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 6% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $443 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $322 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $309 | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 9% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $291 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $279 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $233 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 4% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $223 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $130 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $106 | Trade → |
| $56,499.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $57,000 to 57,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $56,500 to 56,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete price range Bitcoin will trade in at 5:00 PM EST on March 3, 2026. It matters because it lets traders take positions on near-term Bitcoin price outcomes and hedge or speculate around that specific timestamp.
Bitcoin remains a high-volatility asset influenced by macro policy, on-chain dynamics, and crypto-sector developments; markets that fix on a specific timestamp capture market expectations for that moment. The market uses 40 distinct outcome buckets to partition the possible spot price at settlement, enabling granular views on where traders expect price to settle at that exact time.
Odds in this market summarize the collective bets on which price bracket will contain Bitcoin at the specified timestamp; they update as new information arrives and reflect market participants' aggregate expectations rather than a single deterministic forecast.
The event refers to 5:00:00 PM Eastern Standard Time (EST, UTC−05:00) on March 3, 2026; confirm the contract text for whether the platform uses the whole second or a quoted minute for sampling.
Settlement follows the pricing source and methodology specified in the KALSHI contract terms for this market; check the market's settlement rules for the named reference feed or composite index and any backup feeds.
Each outcome corresponds to a discrete price bracket listed on the market page; the exact numeric boundaries and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive are provided in the event description—review that table to map price to outcome.
KALSHI's published dispute and fallback procedures apply: the platform may use an alternate specified feed, an agreed-upon backup methodology, or a dispute process per the market rules—consult the settlement and dispute section for this event.
Yes—price moves from last-minute order flow can shift the reference price into a different bracket, and an exchange outage can affect the reference feed; because settlement uses the specified data source at the timestamp, liquidity and operational issues close to 5pm can materially affect the winning outcome.