| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 27% | 21¢ | 24¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | 8% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 40% | 35¢ | 40¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $57,249.99 or below | 5% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 12% | 22¢ | 25¢ | — | $471 | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $170 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 0% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This KALSHI market asks which discrete price range Bitcoin will be trading in at 7:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026. It matters because it provides a market-cleared view and a tradable instrument for short-term views or hedges tied to that specific timestamp.
Bitcoin markets are high-frequency and sensitive to macro headlines, on-chain flows, exchange liquidity, and derivatives positioning; short-dated outcomes can move quickly as new information arrives. Over recent years, institutional products (ETFs, custodial inflows), regulatory developments, and macro policy shifts have become major drivers of intraday and end-of-day price levels. That background shapes how traders approach a time‑specific market like this one.
Odds on this market reflect the aggregated judgments of traders who bought and sold outcomes and update as new information arrives; they are a market price for each range rather than a guaranteed forecast. To interpret them, compare relative prices across adjacent outcome buckets and account for liquidity and bid-ask spreads when reading implied market sentiment.
Settlement is determined at 7:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026 per the event description; consult the market's official rules on KALSHI for the precise timestamp convention and any reference-feed offsets.
The specific reference price feed or set of exchanges used for settlement is listed in the event's terms on KALSHI; traders should check those settlement details to know which data source governs final outcome determination.
The 75 outcomes divide the possible price axis into adjacent, non-overlapping buckets defined on the market page; the outcome containing the official settlement price (per the event's reference feed) is the winning outcome.
How such incidents affect settlement depends on the market's rules and the chosen reference feed — some contracts use an instantaneous print at the timestamp, others use a time-weighted or averaged feed or apply data-provider corrections; review the event’s settlement rule for handling anomalies.
This market provides a targeted instrument to express or hedge a view specifically tied to the 7pm EST price bucket; consider the bucket granularity, liquidity, transaction costs, and how its payoff aligns with your spot or derivatives positions before using it as a hedge.