| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,750 to 69,249.99 | 7% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,749.99 | 86% | 85¢ | 87¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 68,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 70,249.99 | 5% | 5¢ | 8¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,749.99 | 17% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 71,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 66,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,749.99 | 12% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $56,749.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 64,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 67,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 65,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,749.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 72,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,749.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $859 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $670 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 74,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $534 | Trade → |
| $56,750 to 57,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $372 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $370 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 63,249.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $355 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 59,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $349 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $281 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 75,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $246 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $246 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 73,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $194 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 62,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $172 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 61,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $72 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $71 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 58,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 60,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| $75,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,749.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in on Mar 2, 2026 at 5pm EST; it matters because participants can express views, hedge exposure, or speculate on price outcomes at a precise timestamp.
Bitcoin is historically volatile and sensitive to macroeconomic releases, crypto‑specific news, liquidity flows, and large trades; markets that settle to a single timestamp capture the combined impact of those drivers up to that moment. KALSHI lists this event with 40 discrete outcome ranges and shows total volume traded of $105,771, which gives a sense of current liquidity but does not guarantee tight spreads at execution.
Market prices for each outcome represent how participants are collectively valuing different price ranges for the target timestamp; prices move as new information arrives and as traders update their expectations.
Settlement is governed by the contract rules for this KALSHI market: the official settlement price is derived from the designated price source and method specified on the market page (for example an index, exchange timestamp, or time‑weighted average). Consult the market’s official documentation on KALSHI to see the exact data source and tie‑breaking rules.
'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not announced a fixed trading cutoff time; trading may remain open until the operator sets a close or until settlement procedures begin. That can affect timing and execution risk, so monitor the market page and orderbook for any announced close or last‑trade deadlines.
The 40 outcomes partition the possible BTC price continuum into discrete price buckets so traders select the bucket they expect the final price to fall into. Each outcome label on the market page shows the numeric boundaries—check those labels and the contract terms to confirm whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive.
Boundary handling is specified in the market’s settlement rules; typically the contract will state whether a boundary value is assigned to the lower or higher bucket or describe a rounding convention. Review the settlement section on the KALSHI market page for the precise tie‑break rule.
Reported volume gives a historical snapshot of activity but not the current orderbook depth; before trading, check live bids/offers, expected slippage for your target size, and the open interest in adjacent outcomes. For larger positions, consider staggered entries, limit orders, or using multiple adjacent outcomes to manage execution risk.