| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | 42% | 40¢ | 43¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 41% | 38¢ | 41¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 14% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 15% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | 4% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $779 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $354 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $201 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $179 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $57,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in on Mar 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST, letting traders express views about the BTC spot price at that specific timestamp. It matters because it aggregates market expectations for that moment, which can be useful for short-term traders and analysts tracking price signals.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid, volatile digital asset whose short-term price is shaped by macroeconomic conditions, investor flows, regulatory developments, and on-chain dynamics. Events such as major economic data releases, central bank communication, institutional flows (including ETF activity), and sudden exchange or network incidents can create rapid moves. Prediction markets like this partition possible prices into discrete outcomes so participants can trade conditional on a concrete settlement moment.
Market prices (odds) reflect the collective expectations of participants about which price range will hold at 4:00 PM EST on Mar 2, 2026; they update as new information arrives but are not guarantees. Use them as a real-time gauge of consensus and risk sentiment rather than a deterministic forecast.
The winning outcome is determined by the Bitcoin spot price at the stated settlement timestamp as defined in the market's settlement rules; the exchange (KALSHI) will reference a specified data source and may use a short time window for the official price. Check the market page or settlement rules for the exact reference source and window used for this event.
Each of the 75 outcomes corresponds to a discrete BTC price interval for the Mar 2, 2026 4:00 PM EST snapshot; trading involves buying or selling the outcome whose interval you expect the price to fall into. Payout depends on which interval contains the official settlement price, so participants effectively take positions on specific price bands rather than a continuous price.
The market closing time is set by KALSHI and may be listed as TBD until finalized; closing can occur before the settlement moment to allow operational processing. Settlement happens after the reference price at 4:00 PM EST on Mar 2, 2026 is determined according to the market's rules; consult the market page for final close and settlement timing.
The reported volume indicates the cumulative dollar value of positions participants have taken so far and is a signal of liquidity and market interest. Higher volume generally means tighter spreads and stronger price discovery, but volume alone does not guarantee future accuracy or predictability of the outcome.
High-impact events include major U.S. economic releases (e.g., inflation or employment reports) and any scheduled central bank commentary, large ETF or institutional custody activity, announced regulatory actions or court decisions affecting crypto, and any exchange outages or security incidents; each can rapidly change order flow and the market's view of which price range is most likely at 4:00 PM EST.