| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 23% | 22¢ | 24¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 32% | 30¢ | 35¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 23% | 20¢ | 23¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $782 | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 9% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $210 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $204 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $184 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $113 | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $101 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $101 | Trade → |
| $57,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at 1:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026; it matters because it provides a time‑specific, tradable snapshot of market expectations and short‑term risk. Aggregated trading across many discrete outcomes can reveal how participants are positioning for that exact timestamp.
The contract offers 75 discrete price‑range outcomes, so resolution will slot the observed market price into one of many narrowly defined buckets. Crypto markets remain sensitive to macro policy, liquidity flows, and exchange‑level events, and this event captures the combined effect of those drivers at a single minute in time. The platform (KALSHI) and the contract page contain the operative definitions, data sources, and any pre‑close or resolution rules; note that the stated trading volume and open interest are updated in real time and the contract close time is listed as TBD on the event page.
Market prices on this contract should be read as collective trader pricing — they reflect how participants are betting relative to one another at a point in time, not a guaranteed forecast. Prices and odds can move quickly as new information arrives, so treat them as dynamic signals rather than fixed probabilities.
The contract will resolve to a price defined by the data vendor or index specified in the event rules — typically an aggregated exchange price or a named exchange ticker — measured at the exact timestamp. Consult the contract's resolution specification on the event page to see the primary source and any averaging/window rules.
The 75 outcomes partition the possible price axis into adjacent buckets; each outcome corresponds to a specific price interval with clearly defined lower and upper bounds. The event page lists the numeric ranges and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive; resolution assigns the observed price to the matching bucket.
The event page currently shows the close time as TBD; platforms commonly set a final trading cutoff at or shortly before the resolution timestamp to allow for orderly settlement. Check the event details for the exact trading close and any last‑minute order restrictions.
Resolution procedures are specified in the contract rules and usually include fallbacks such as alternate data vendors, use of a secondary exchange, or a defined time‑averaging window. If unusual circumstances occur, the platform’s official resolution policy and announcements will explain the chosen approach.
Liquidity providers and market makers, large spot traders and custodians, derivatives arbitrageurs, and leveraged traders susceptible to liquidations are the main actors. Their combined order flow and depth of the order book determine how large news or orders translate into price moves at the settlement minute.