| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 7% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 18% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 20% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 4% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | 7% | 0¢ | 18¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | 29% | 25¢ | 29¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 22% | 22¢ | 26¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | 10% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | 19% | 12¢ | 16¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $895 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $398 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | 7% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $318 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $260 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $224 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $224 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| $57,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete Bitcoin price range will contain the BTC spot price at 11:00 AM Eastern on March 2, 2026; it matters because it provides a time‑specific way to express views or hedge exposure around that exact timestamp.
Bitcoin is historically volatile on intraday and multi‑week horizons, so date‑specific markets capture a wide range of potential outcomes driven by macro, on‑chain, and liquidity events. Events in the weeks and days before March 2 — including macroeconomic data releases, policy decisions, large exchange flows, or major crypto‑industry announcements — can materially shift where the price falls at the settlement timestamp.
Prediction market prices reflect the marketplace's collective assessment of which discrete price range will hold at the given timestamp; use them as a dynamic, traded indicator of market expectations rather than definitive forecasts.
The observation is the referenced Bitcoin price at the official timestamp of 11:00 AM Eastern on March 2, 2026; the market's settlement rules will specify whether that means the price at that exact second, a short time window, or an official index value captured at that moment—consult the market rules on KALSHI for the precise measurement method.
Each outcome corresponds to a contiguous Bitcoin price range that partitions possible prices at the settlement time; the event page on KALSHI lists the exact boundary for every numbered outcome—review those labels before trading to know which range you are buying or selling.
The market's settlement documentation specifies the reference price source (for example, a consolidated index or a set of exchanges and API endpoints); check the event's settlement rules on KALSHI to learn the designated price feed and any fallbacks used in case of data issues.
Traded volume is one indicator of liquidity—higher volume generally means tighter spreads and more reliable price discovery, while lower volume can lead to wider spreads and greater sensitivity to large orders; consider both volume and order‑book depth when assessing execution risk for this specific market.
Yes—significant events that move the underlying spot price or disrupt price reporting can change which price range contains the settlement price; the market's settlement rules also explain how exceptional circumstances or data unavailability are handled, so review those procedures if an unusual event occurs.