| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | 31% | 37¢ | 39¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | 18% | 17¢ | 19¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | 18% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | 38% | 26¢ | 28¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $522 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $237 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $224 | Trade → |
| $57,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range bitcoin will be in on Mar 2, 2026 at 10:00 am EST; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations ahead of that timestamp and can signal market sentiment and short-term risk. Participants use it to express views or hedge exposures tied to that specific moment.
Bitcoin price around a specified timestamp is driven by a mix of on-chain activity, macroeconomic data releases, derivatives expiries, and liquidity conditions on exchanges. Historical patterns show high intraday volatility and sensitivity to news, so timing (a precise hour) can change outcomes relative to daily closes. The market reflects both retail and institutional flows and any material news between now and the settlement time.
Market odds on this platform summarize how traders are collectively pricing each discrete price-range outcome and will change as new information arrives. Interpret prices qualitatively as the market's consensus expectations and as signals about relative likelihoods between ranges, not as guarantees.
The market will settle using the reference price and exchange/index specified in the event rules on the KALSHI event page; consult that rules section to see which data feed or exchange snapshot is authoritative for the settlement timestamp.
The event page lists the trading close time; if it shows 'TBD' the platform will announce an official close before settlement—check KALSHI for updates. Some markets allow trading up until settlement while others stop earlier to allow price verification.
The 75 outcomes represent contiguous, non‑overlapping price intervals covering a wide range of possible bitcoin prices at the specified timestamp; the single outcome whose interval contains the officially reported price at 10:00 am EST on Mar 2, 2026 will be the winning outcome according to the event rules.
Consider intraday volatility patterns, common liquidity windows (U.S. market hours often show distinct flows), recent volatility regime, and any recurring calendar events (e.g., monthly/quarterly expiries) that have previously increased price movement around similar dates and times.
Participants include retail traders, professional speculators, institutional desks, market makers, and arbitrageurs; typical strategies include directional bets on a given interval, pair trades or spreads across adjacent ranges, and hedging using futures or options to manage exposure to the settlement timestamp.