| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $76,600 to 77,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,600 to 76,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,600 to 73,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,600 to 72,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,100 to 75,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,600 to 79,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,600 to 65,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,600 to 66,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,100 to 72,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,600 to 70,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,100 to 81,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $83,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,100 to 71,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,100 to 74,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,100 to 82,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,100 to 69,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,100 to 65,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,600 to 71,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,100 to 77,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,600 to 78,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,600 to 74,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,100 to 78,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,600 to 81,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,100 to 67,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,600 to 82,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $83,100 to 83,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,100 to 80,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,600 to 80,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,600 to 83,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,100 to 70,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,599.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,100 to 68,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,100 to 66,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,100 to 76,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,600 to 67,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,100 to 73,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,600 to 68,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,600 to 69,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,100 to 79,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,600 to 75,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at 5:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026. It matters because discrete outcome markets like this let traders express views on short-term price placement and market sentiment at a precise timestamp.
Bitcoin markets are driven by a mix of on-chain flows, derivatives positioning, macro news, and liquidity available on major exchanges; price can move quickly around scheduled macro events or large liquidations. KALSHI’s listing divides the possible terminal price into 40 distinct ranges, so resolution will assign the realized 5:00 PM EDT price to one of those intervals.
Market odds reflect the balance of buy and sell interest across the 40 outcomes and update as participants trade; they indicate the market-implied consensus at any moment rather than a guaranteed prediction.
The outcome is determined by Bitcoin’s price at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) on March 18, 2026 as specified by the contract; check the contract text for how that timezone is applied in the event of daylight-saving changes.
The market lists 40 discrete intervals that partition possible BTC prices at the resolution timestamp; the market page or contract details will show the precise numeric endpoints for each outcome.
The contract’s resolution clause specifies the reference price or index provider used for settlement; if the market page does not state it clearly, consult the contract details or KALSHI support for the named data source and any fallback procedures.
KALSHI’s resolution rules typically specify fallback data sources or a dispute process; the contract will outline what occurs in the event of feed failure, delayed feeds, or material discrepancies.
The market’s listing will show the official close time (currently TBD); exchanges often close trading shortly before the resolution timestamp to prevent last-second manipulation, so monitor the market page for the announced trading cutoff.