| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $70,750 to 71,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,750 to 77,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,750 to 76,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 72,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 73,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 74,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,750 to 78,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 66,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,250 to 76,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,250 to 77,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,249.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 68,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,750 to 81,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,250 to 80,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,750 to 80,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,250 to 79,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,250 to 78,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 67,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 69,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 70,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,750 to 79,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of 40 predefined price ranges Bitcoin will be in at 5:00 PM EDT on March 16, 2026. It matters because it aggregates trader expectations for the spot price at a specific timestamp and can be used to express views or hedge exposure.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose intraday price can move on macroeconomic releases, crypto-specific news, changes in liquidity on major exchanges, and large order flow from whales or institutions. Historical behavior shows concentrated moves around major macro events, derivatives expiries, and periods of thin liquidity; those patterns can affect outcomes for a single timestamp market like this. Check the specific contract on KALSHI for the exact settlement source and rules that govern this market.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregated views of participants about which range will contain the settlement price; they change in real time as information and order flow arrive. Treat market odds as a snapshot of collective belief, not a guarantee of the final result.
The contract specifies the official settlement price source (for example, a named exchange or aggregated index) and the exact timestamp; consult the market's rules on KALSHI to see which feed is authoritative for settlement.
Yes—5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time is 21:00 UTC; however, verify the contract for any nuance around timestamps or daylight-saving adjustments used by the settlement feed.
Each outcome corresponds to a non-overlapping price interval listed in the contract; the market rules state whether interval endpoints are inclusive or exclusive, so check the event description to see how exact boundary prices are treated.
The market follows the fallback and dispute procedures laid out in the contract—this can include secondary data sources or an official arbitration process—so consult the market's settlement and contingency rules on KALSHI.
Review past intraday volatility around the same time of day and comparable calendar events, examine liquidity and bid-ask spreads on reference exchanges, and study how spot reacted to similar macro or crypto news; these patterns can inform probability assessments but do not guarantee outcomes.