| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 14% | 14¢ | 15¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 12% | 7¢ | 11¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $807 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $807 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $791 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $757 | Trade → |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $665 | Trade → |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $655 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 13% | 10¢ | 14¢ | — | $590 | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 8% | 7¢ | 13¢ | — | $513 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $405 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $295 | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 4% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $258 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 11% | 5¢ | 10¢ | — | $229 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $154 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $134 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $110 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $109 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 4% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $107 | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 11% | 7¢ | 12¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 2% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 5% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| $78,500 to 78,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,999.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will occupy exactly at 5:00 PM EDT on March 12, 2026; it lets traders express views or hedge exposure to the coin’s short‑term level. The outcome matters to participants tracking event‑driven or intraday price risk.
Bitcoin is a high‑volatility asset whose intraday level reflects macroeconomic data, liquidity flows, on‑chain activity, and news about exchanges or regulation. The market is split into 40 discrete ranges to capture a detailed distribution of possible prices; current page metadata shows total volume traded and that the market close is listed as TBD, so check the market page for live updates. Historical intraday moves and occasional exchange microstructure events mean outcomes can change quickly as new information arrives.
Market prices/odds on this market summarize the crowd’s current assessment of which range is most likely; they are dynamic and update with new information. Use them as a real‑time sentiment and risk indicator, not as a certainty about the final settlement.
The event’s resolution rule on the KALSHI market page specifies the authoritative price source and method (e.g., which exchange/index, whether a spot tick or an averaged value, and rounding). Consult that official rule to know which outcome corresponds to the settlement price.
The market page shows the trading close (currently listed as TBD); markets typically stop trading before the official resolution timestamp. Check the KALSHI event page for the precise trading deadline and resolution timeline.
Outcomes are contiguous, non‑overlapping price intervals displayed on the market interface. Each label shows the lower and upper bounds; the winning outcome is the interval that contains the official settlement price per the market’s inclusion/exclusion rules noted on the event page.
KALSHI’s resolution procedure—listed on the event page and platform rules—defines backup sources or alternative methods (such as using a secondary index or an averaging window). If exceptional issues arise, the platform’s dispute and settlement policy explains how a final determination will be made.
Relatively limited volume across many discrete outcomes can widen spreads and increase sensitivity to single trades, which may cause greater slippage on market orders. To manage execution risk, monitor the order book, use limit orders, and size positions relative to displayed liquidity.