| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,750 to 69,249.99 | 13% | 10¢ | 13¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $68,250 to 68,749.99 | 7% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $657 | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,749.99 | 14% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $318 | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,749.99 | 9% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $282 | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,749.99 | 11% | 6¢ | 11¢ | — | $278 | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 71,249.99 | 10% | 5¢ | 10¢ | — | $230 | Trade → |
| $77,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $192 | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 67,249.99 | 5% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $181 | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 66,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $163 | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 68,249.99 | 11% | 4¢ | 9¢ | — | $120 | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,749.99 | 5% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $115 | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 70,249.99 | 13% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $89 | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 72,249.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $53 | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,749.99 | 6% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| $58,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 73,249.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,749.99 | 6% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 74,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 65,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,750 to 77,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 59,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 64,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 62,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,250 to 76,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 75,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 63,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,750 to 76,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 61,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 60,249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin (BTC) will be in at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 10, 2026; it matters because it offers a way to express views on short-term BTC price placement across 40 discrete outcome ranges. Traders use these range-based contracts to speculate or hedge exposure to BTC price moves around that timestamp.
The contract is listed on KALSHI and contains 40 distinct outcomes that partition possible BTC price levels at the settlement time; total traded volume noted on the platform is $4,156. Bitcoin’s price at that moment will reflect the interaction of on-chain supply and demand, macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, market microstructure (order flow and liquidity), and any crypto-specific events that occur in the days immediately before March 10, 2026. Because the market closes and settles according to the contract’s published rules, participants should consult the event page for the exact outcome labels and any procedural details.
Prediction market odds indicate the market’s aggregate view about which price range is expected at the settlement time; they are not guarantees and can change as new information arrives. For final settlement, focus on the contract’s defined reference price and timing rather than short-term odds.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific, mutually exclusive BTC price interval listed on the contract page; together they partition the overall range of possible prices at settlement. Consult the event listing on KALSHI to see the exact numeric endpoints and labels for each of the 40 outcome buckets.
The contract’s rules specify the reference price source or index that will be used for settlement; check the event’s official rules on KALSHI to find which exchange(s) or aggregated index are authoritative for this market.
The listing indicates 'Closes: TBD', so the platform will announce any trading cutoff and the settlement timeline; typically trading is suspended shortly before the settlement timestamp and final settlement follows the contract rules after the reference price is observed.
Boundary treatment (inclusive vs. exclusive endpoints) is defined in the contract specifications; the event rules will state which range claims boundary values or how ties are resolved, so review those rules before trading.
Monitor scheduled macroeconomic releases and central-bank communications, major crypto industry announcements (ETF filings/reports, exchange status, legal actions), large on-chain transfers and exchange flows, option or futures expiries around that date, and any unexpected outages or security incidents that could affect liquidity or market confidence.