| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,000 or above | 66% | 64¢ | 65¢ | — | $39K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 8% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 25% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 24% | 23¢ | 24¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 87% | 87¢ | 88¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 44% | 41¢ | 43¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 5% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 79% | 79¢ | 80¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 92% | 93¢ | 94¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $864 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $401 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $383 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $351 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $226 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $184 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $184 | Trade → |
| $80,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $152 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $81 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $76,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $76,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $76 | Trade → |
| $77,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $79,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $78,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $78,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $77,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $79,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 78% | 90¢ | 100¢ | — | $52 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $42 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $40 | Trade → |
This market asks what Bitcoin's spot price will be on Mar 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM Eastern Time; it matters because short-term price levels are focal points for traders, risk managers, and event-driven strategies.
Bitcoin's price by that date will reflect a combination of prior price trends, on-chain supply dynamics, macroeconomic conditions, and regulatory developments that unfolded through early 2026. Market structure factors — including liquidity in spot and derivatives markets, ETF flows, and major custodial activity — typically shape end-of-day reference prices.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' views about which price interval will prevail at the specified timestamp; they are signals of collective expectations, not guarantees, and should be interpreted alongside other market information and official settlement rules.
This market lists 40 distinct outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a specific Bitcoin price range (a bucket) covering the possible spot prices at the designated timestamp. Consult the market’s outcome list on KALSHI for exact bucket boundaries and labels.
The market’s settlement source and methodology are specified in the event’s official rules on KALSHI; traders should review the settlement section on the market page to see which exchange index or consolidated feed will determine the final price.
Yes: the timestamp is Eastern Time; for Mar 7, 2026 the United States is on standard time (EST). The market uses the stated local time for settlement, and any daylight saving shifts after that date do not affect this timestamp.
The market page currently lists closing as TBD; KALSHI will publish the trading close time and any order deadlines on the event page, so check the market description and notices for updates before placing trades.
Traders should monitor scheduled US macro releases and Fed communications around that date, major derivatives expirations (futures/options) that settle near that timestamp, any planned ETF flows or rebalances, and announced technical maintenance windows for major exchanges or custodians.