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Bitcoin price on Mar 5, 2026 at 5pm EST?

📊 $130K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$130K
Open Interest
97,441
Active Markets
40
Markets
40

Trade This Market

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (40)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
$73,000 or above 47%
44¢ 47¢ $16K Trade →
$72,500 or above 53%
54¢ 55¢ $14K Trade →
$73,500 or above 35%
35¢ 36¢ $10K Trade →
$76,500 or above 7%
$8K Trade →
$70,000 or above 86%
87¢ 89¢ $8K Trade →
$70,500 or above 85%
83¢ 85¢ $7K Trade →
$69,500 or above 89%
89¢ 91¢ $7K Trade →
$71,500 or above 71%
71¢ 72¢ $7K Trade →
$68,000 or above 99%
95¢ 97¢ $6K Trade →
$75,000 or above 15%
15¢ 17¢ $6K Trade →
$78,000 or above 4%
$6K Trade →
$76,000 or above 8%
$5K Trade →
$72,000 or above 63%
63¢ 64¢ $5K Trade →
$74,000 or above 25%
27¢ 30¢ $4K Trade →
$71,000 or above 78%
78¢ 80¢ $3K Trade →
$68,500 or above 94%
94¢ 96¢ $3K Trade →
$74,500 or above 19%
21¢ 22¢ $3K Trade →
$75,500 or above 11%
10¢ 11¢ $2K Trade →
$69,000 or above 93%
92¢ 93¢ $2K Trade →
$80,000 or above 1%
$2K Trade →
$77,000 or above 5%
$1K Trade →
$77,500 or above 3%
$1K Trade →
$67,000 or above 97%
97¢ 99¢ $844 Trade →
$78,500 or above 4%
$771 Trade →
$67,500 or above 96%
97¢ 99¢ $549 Trade →
$79,000 or above 2%
$476 Trade →
$66,500 or above 98%
98¢ 99¢ $397 Trade →
$79,500 or above 2%
$298 Trade →
$66,000 or above 99%
98¢ 100¢ $186 Trade →
$80,500 or above 2%
$162 Trade →
$64,500 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$63,000 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$61,500 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$63,500 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$65,000 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$62,500 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$64,000 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$81,000 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
$65,500 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$62,000 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which discrete price bucket Bitcoin will occupy at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 5, 2026; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations for a precise timestamp that can be used for hedging or speculation.

Bitcoin remains a high-volatility asset whose short-term price is shaped by on-chain flows, derivatives positioning, macro data, and regulatory developments. This specific market offers 40 mutually exclusive outcomes and has attracted measurable participation (reported volume), which together determine how finely market beliefs are expressed for that moment in time.

Prediction market odds here represent the consensus view of participating traders about which price interval will obtain at the specified timestamp; they provide a real-time, tradable signal but are not guarantees and should be combined with other research when making decisions.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How exactly are the market's 40 outcomes defined for "Bitcoin price on Mar 5, 2026 at 5pm EST?"

Each outcome corresponds to a mutually exclusive price interval (a discrete bucket). If the Bitcoin reference price at the specified timestamp falls inside a given bucket, that outcome settles as the winner; consult the market page for exact interval endpoints and any open-ended tails.

When does trading close for this event if the page lists "Closes: TBD"?

"Closes: TBD" means the platform has not yet announced a final trading cutoff; typically trading closes before the settlement timestamp per platform rules, but you should monitor the market page or platform notifications for the official cutoff time.

How will the contract be settled at 5:00 PM EST on March 5, 2026?

Settlement follows the market's official resolution rules: the designated reference data source and the exact method (single-timestamp read, time-weighted average, or other) are defined in the contract terms on the platform—check those terms to see which source and method will be used.

What happens if the designated reference price is unavailable or disputed at the settlement time?

Most platforms have fallback and dispute procedures, such as secondary data sources, a defined time window for price observation, or an adjudication process; the market's rulebook explains the sequence of fallbacks and how final determinations are made.

Does the reported total volume traded ($129,521) and the 40-outcome structure affect how I should use this market for price signals or trading?

Volume is a proxy for liquidity and market interest: higher volume generally means tighter spreads and easier entry/exit, while many discrete outcomes require liquidity to express fine-grained views. Consider volume, bid-ask spreads, and order book depth before trading, because low liquidity can produce wide slippage and less reliable price discovery.

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