Bitcoin price on Mar 24, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

The 188 outcomes are discrete resolution buckets defined in the market contract; the market description lists each interval or strike. Review that contract on the KALSHI market page to see the precise numeric boundaries and whether buckets are inclusive/exclusive at the endpoints.

Settlement follows the rules published by the exchange for this market: the official reference price at the specified timestamp (and any aggregation method) will determine which outcome wins. Check the market’s settlement clause on KALSHI for the exact data source and post‑timestamp confirmation process.

If the primary reference feed is unavailable, the platform’s contingency and arbitration procedures apply—examples include using alternate consolidated feeds, delayed prices, or an official arbitration determination. Consult KALSHI’s contingency/resolution rules for the applicable fallback procedures.

Yes. Only the observed reference price at the exact settlement timestamp determines the winning outcome, so any news, block trades, liquidations, or order‑book moves immediately prior to 1:00 PM EDT can alter which bucket the final price falls into.

Bucket boundary handling is defined in the market contract—platforms commonly use half‑open intervals or explicit tie‑breaking rules to ensure a single winning outcome. Check the market’s resolution rules on the KALSHI page to see how boundary cases are treated.