Bitcoin price on Mar 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Settlement uses the official reference price mechanism defined in the market's rules: typically a recognized BTC/USD index or a short time-weighted average around that timestamp. Check the market's settlement documentation for the authoritative source and any tie-break procedures.

Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price label or bucket shown on the market page; the 80 discrete outcomes partition the possible BTC/USD values at settlement, so review the outcome labels to understand the mapping from price to outcome.

The market's close time is listed on the market page and may be updated; if currently marked TBD, expect trading to close either shortly before the settlement timestamp or at whatever deadline the market operator specifies, with resolution following the published settlement procedure.

Scheduled items include U.S. macro releases (inflation, employment, Fed commentary), court rulings or regulatory decisions expected around that date, major corporate earnings or announcements from large crypto custodians, and options/futures expiries that concentrate flows — any of these can change price levels into the settlement time.

Zero or low historical volume means current odds may reflect few participant opinions and orderbook depth may be thin; liquidity can change rapidly, so evaluate bid/ask spreads, orderbook size, and whether third-party price sources align before making large trades.