| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $83,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $83,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Bitcoin (BTC) spot price will be on Mar 20, 2026 at 5:00pm Eastern Daylight Time and offers 50 discrete outcomes to express expectations across a range of price buckets. It matters because it aggregates trader views about BTC at a single, well-defined timestamp and can be used for hedging or sentiment insight.
Bitcoin has historically shown high intraday and multi-month volatility driven by macroeconomic cycles, liquidity flows, derivatives positioning, and regulatory developments. In the months and years before Mar 20, 2026, factors such as institutional adoption, macro policy, exchange products (ETFs, futures, options), and on-chain metrics have been major drivers of price moves. Markets leading into the date will price in both expected scheduled events and the possibility of surprise news.
Market prices on this market reflect the collective expectations of traders about BTC's price at that exact timestamp; higher market prices for an outcome indicate stronger market support for that bucket relative to others. Use the available market prices as a real-time summary of sentiment and risk, but consult the event's resolution rules for how the outcome will be settled.
Mar 20, 2026 at 5:00pm EDT corresponds to 21:00 UTC (EDT is UTC−4 in March). The market resolves using the price at that precise timestamp as defined by the event’s resolution rules, so convert your local time to UTC to avoid confusion.
Each of the 50 outcomes represents a specific BTC price bucket listed on the event page; the page shows the exact numeric boundaries or labels for every outcome. Before trading, inspect the outcome labels on the market interface to understand the granularity and edges of each bucket.
Resolution in the case of a boundary value is governed by the market’s official resolution policy. That policy (linked on the event page) specifies the data source and tie-breaking rules used to determine which outcome is declared the winner.
Yes—markets can be suspended or voided under predefined conditions such as data source failures, exchange outages, demonstrated errors in contract specification, or force majeure events; the operator will publish the reason and remediation steps per its rules.
Watch for US macro releases (e.g., CPI or employment reports) and Fed communications around that week, major exchange or ETF flow announcements, large options/futures expiries, and any known court dates or regulatory deadlines; market reactions to such events can occur within minutes but may also build in over hours or days leading to the timestamp.