| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66,000 or above | 29% | 27¢ | 30¢ | — | $89K | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 61% | 61¢ | 62¢ | — | $81K | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 88% | 87¢ | 88¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 8% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 97¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $327 | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $247 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $140 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $112 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at exactly 9:00 AM Eastern Time on March 2, 2026; it matters because it offers a structured way to trade expectations about Bitcoin’s short-term value at a precise timestamp.
Bitcoin is a high-volatility digital asset whose price reflects a mix of macroeconomic conditions, on‑chain activity, regulatory news, and market structure. This KALSHI market lists 75 discrete outcomes (price buckets) and has attracted measurable interest (total volume traded indicated on the event page), allowing participants to express views on where BTC will be at that moment.
Market quotes for each outcome aggregate traders’ views; higher prices/quotes on an outcome indicate stronger market support for that specific price range. Quotes update as new information arrives and should be read as the market’s current consensus, not a guarantee of the future.
It refers to the price of Bitcoin at the specified local time on that date as defined by the event rules; check the event page for the exact data source and the precise settlement timestamp (e.g., a specific second or an index value) used for resolution.
They are 75 discrete, contiguous price buckets that partition possible Bitcoin prices at the settlement timestamp; the event page lists the exact numeric ranges for each outcome.
Settlement follows the event’s posted rules: a specified reference price source or composite index at the settlement timestamp determines which price bucket is the winning outcome; review the event’s settlement and data-source rules on KALSHI for details.
The event’s fallback and dispute procedures, which are documented on the event page, define alternative data sources or delayed settlement protocols; traders should read those contingency rules before trading.
Treat the market as a dynamic, crowdsourced indicator of short-term sentiment; combine its signals with on‑chain metrics, macro calendar items, and your own risk management rather than relying on it in isolation.