| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,250 or above | 86% | 87¢ | 88¢ | — | $159K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 28% | 27¢ | 28¢ | — | $124K | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $67K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $327 | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $280 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 82% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $268 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $233 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $98 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This KALSHI market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at 6:00pm EST on March 2, 2026; it matters because it lets traders and observers hedge or express views on a specific short-term price outcome.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price on any given date reflects macroeconomic conditions, crypto-specific flows, and market microstructure. This event lists 75 discrete outcomes (price buckets) and has attracted meaningful interest (total volume traded $459,227); the market close time is currently listed as TBD, so participants should monitor the platform for official scheduling and contract details.
Prediction market odds are a real-time aggregation of participants' views and news; use them as a dynamic consensus signal about which price range the market expects at the specified timestamp, not as a guaranteed forecast.
The event is defined at 6:00pm Eastern Time on March 2, 2026; because U.S. daylight saving time in 2026 begins after March 2, that date falls under standard time (EST). Confirm the market's official timestamp and time zone on KALSHI's contract page for final resolution timing.
The 75 outcomes are discrete price-range buckets that partition possible Bitcoin spot prices at the resolution timestamp; the winning bucket is whichever range contains the reference price used for settlement, and the exact bucket definitions are available on the market contract page.
If the market close is listed as TBD, KALSHI will publish a definitive close time before the event; trading typically halts at or before the specified close to allow for settlement, so monitor the platform for the announced close and any pre-close notifications.
The market's contract specifies the reference price or index used for settlement (for example, a composite of exchanges or a single exchange quote); check the market's official rules on KALSHI to see the exact price feed and aggregation method.
Resolution procedures for feed outages or extreme disruptions are defined in the contract; common approaches include using alternate exchanges, an averaging window around the timestamp, or invoking a dispute/fallback mechanism—review the market terms to understand the platform's contingency rules.