| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,000 or above | 89% | 90¢ | 92¢ | — | $219K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 53% | 53¢ | 55¢ | — | $145K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $120K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 12% | 12¢ | 13¢ | — | $53K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $50K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $373 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $166 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price bucket Bitcoin will occupy at 4:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about the cryptocurrency at a specific timestamp. Market prices here offer a real-time, tradeable expression of those expectations ahead of that settlement time.
Bitcoin's price at any future timestamp reflects a mix of macroeconomic conditions, market structure, on-chain metrics, and regulatory developments; since the 2024 halving and the growth of institutional products, those factors remain central to price dynamics. Short-term volatility is commonplace in crypto, so single-timestamp markets can move quickly as news, liquidity shifts, or large flows occur near settlement.
Odds in this market represent the collective view of traders on which discrete price range will be true at the specified timestamp and can change as new information arrives. Treat market prices as a snapshot of current market sentiment rather than a definitive prediction.
The settlement method is defined in the event's contract rules on the platform; it typically specifies a reference price source and whether the market uses a single timestamp snapshot or an average over a short window. Consult the event details for the exact resolution procedure used to determine the official settlement price.
The 75 outcomes partition the possible BTC price range at that timestamp into discrete, non‑overlapping intervals (price buckets). The event page lists the exact boundaries for each outcome so you can see which interval corresponds to each listed outcome.
Yes—news and trades that move the market before or at the settlement reference time can change the snapshot price and therefore which outcome resolves. Events after the official settlement timestamp generally do not affect resolution unless the contract specifies a resolution window or there is an explicit dispute.
The platform's resolution rules name the authoritative price source or index and outline the dispute process; in cases of conflicting exchange data the designated index provider or the market operator typically resolves which feed is used per the contract terms. Check the event's resolution policy for the appointed source and dispute procedures.
Low liquidity or the execution of large market orders near the snapshot can materially move the spot price and change the settled outcome. Traders concerned about this should monitor order-book depth, known large flows, and time their actions with awareness that concentrated activity around the reference time has outsized settlement impact.