| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,000 or above | 82% | 82¢ | 83¢ | — | $192K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 33% | 34¢ | 36¢ | — | $168K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $90K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $51K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $713 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what Bitcoin's price will be at 2:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026; it aggregates traders' views into a set of tradable outcomes. The market currently lists 75 discrete outcomes and has recorded $636,783 in trading volume, making it a concentrated way to see how participants price that specific timestamp.
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital asset with a history of pronounced volatility and sensitivity to both crypto-specific events and broader macroeconomic forces. Prices can move on factors such as regulatory announcements, institutional flows (including ETFs and custody demand), macro policy shifts, and on-chain indicators like miner activity and exchange balances. A single-timestamp market like this isolates market expectations for one precise moment, which is useful for short-term hedging or research into event-driven price dynamics.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants at any given moment and will change as new information arrives; treat them as a real-time consensus signal rather than a guaranteed forecast.
This market offers 75 discrete outcomes representing different Bitcoin prices at the specified timestamp; each outcome corresponds to a particular price point or price bracket as listed on the market page. Check the event page on the exchange to see the exact labels and settle rules for each outcome.
The market's stated close time is TBD; trading typically closes at a platform-specified cutoff before the event or at the event time itself depending on the exchange rules. Settlement occurs after the designated reference price for 2:00 PM EST is published and validated according to the market's settlement procedures—consult the event page for the official settlement timing.
The event will settle to a reference price specified by the market operator (e.g., an index or exchange composite); the exact data provider and computation methodology are listed on the event page. Always check the event's settlement source to understand which exchange feeds or index the market will use.
New information—such as macro releases, regulatory announcements, major exchange events, or large on-chain transfers—can shift trader expectations and thus the odds in real time. Scheduled items (central bank meetings, fiscal announcements, or known crypto protocol events) often increase volatility around their release and can have outsized influence on the price at the specified timestamp.
Participants include retail traders, institutional investors and funds, market makers and high-frequency liquidity providers, arbitrageurs linking spot and derivatives markets, and large on-chain holders (whales and miners). Each group influences price via trade size, timing, and interaction with derivatives and order-book liquidity.