| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,250 or above | 10% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $209K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $187K | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 34% | 33¢ | 35¢ | — | $144K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 68% | 67¢ | 68¢ | — | $83K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $62K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 88% | 88¢ | 89¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 95% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 96% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $322 | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $300 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $119 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price bucket Bitcoin will fall into on Mar 2, 2026 at 1pm EST, aggregating trader expectations about BTC's value at that specific timestamp. It matters because the result summarizes market sentiment and can be useful for hedging or assessing short-term outlooks.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price is driven by macroeconomics, regulatory developments, market structure, and on-chain flows; events between now and March 2, 2026 can materially change the outcome. The market offers 75 discrete outcomes (price points or ranges) so participants can express finely grained views across a wide price spectrum. Current volume traded on this market ($818,413) shows active participation but does not predict future moves.
Prediction market odds represent the aggregate beliefs of participants about which price bucket will be true at the specified time and should be read as relative confidence rather than a precise forecast. For final settlement mechanics and the authoritative price source, consult the market's official Kalshi resolution rules.
The market resolves based on the designated price feed and resolution procedure specified in the contract terms; this typically references a published exchange/index price or a short-window average at the stated timestamp—check the market's official rules for the exact definition and data source.
The 75 outcomes represent discrete price points or contiguous price ranges defined in the market description; each outcome corresponds to a single bucket that will win if the official settlement price falls within its boundaries—review the outcome labels to see the exact price mappings.
Kalshi's resolution rules include fallback procedures for missing or unreliable data (for example using alternative exchanges, an index, or a nearby timestamp/window); consult the contract terms to see the specified contingency process for this market.
The contract description will state the timezone convention used for resolution; many markets use a fixed UTC timestamp or explicitly specify EST/EDT handling—verify the market details to remove any ambiguity about the exact moment of price observation.
Yes—material protocol changes or asset redenominations can impact the reference price and may be addressed in the market's special event or force majeure clauses; the official resolution rules describe how such events are treated for settlement.