| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,500 or above | 87% | 87¢ | 88¢ | — | $218K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $160K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 72% | 72¢ | 74¢ | — | $155K | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $89K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 47% | 47¢ | 49¢ | — | $88K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $82K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 25% | 22¢ | 24¢ | — | $38K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $836 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $649 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD price of Bitcoin will be at exactly 12:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026. It matters because traders use these event markets to express and discover expectations about a specific timestamped price outcome.
Bitcoin has historically shown large intraday and longer-term price swings driven by macro policy, regulatory news, exchange flows, and on‑chain activity; markets for specific timestamps let participants focus on a precise point in time rather than long-run direction. KALSHI’s listing here breaks the possible price space into 75 discrete outcomes, so resolution will pick the single range that contains the reference price at that timestamp.
Prediction market odds (prices) here reflect the collective market view about which price-range outcome will contain the reference Bitcoin price at 12:00 PM EST on March 2, 2026; they update in real time and are best interpreted as market-implied beliefs, not guarantees.
The market will resolve to the single outcome whose labeled price range contains the official reference Bitcoin price at exactly 12:00:00 PM Eastern on March 2, 2026, using the settlement source and rules specified on the KALSHI event page; tie and data-missing procedures follow KALSHI’s published resolution policy.
The market’s listed close time is currently TBD; trading will be allowed until KALSHI sets and displays the close. Resolution occurs based on the stated settlement timestamp (12:00 PM EST on Mar 2, 2026) and payouts follow after KALSHI completes its settlement and payment processing per platform timelines.
The 75 outcomes partition the possible Bitcoin price into consecutive price intervals (each outcome label shows the lower and upper bounds of that interval). At settlement, the interval that contains the reference price resolves true; consult the market page for the exact numeric boundaries for each listed outcome.
Specific calendars vary by year, but typical drivers to check include Federal Reserve/FOMC announcements, major U.S. economic releases (CPI, employment), SEC or regulatory rulings, large ETF or custody filings, and any planned protocol upgrades or large token unlocks; consult up-to-date economic and crypto event calendars for exact items on or immediately before Mar 2, 2026.
A settlement snapshot captures the reference price at a single instant, so transient liquidity squeezes, large block trades, concentrated derivatives expiries, or exchange disruptions near that instant can create short-lived price dislocations that determine which outcome wins; traders should be aware that short-term technical and operational factors can be decisive for timestamped markets.