| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $82,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot price of Bitcoin will be at 5pm EDT on March 17, 2026, aggregating traders' expectations about where the market will be at that precise timestamp. It matters because it summarizes how participants price near-term macro, regulatory, and crypto-specific risks that can affect trading and risk management decisions.
Bitcoin has historically exhibited large intraday and multi-month swings driven by macroeconomic conditions, regulatory news, on-chain supply dynamics, and flows from institutional products. In recent years, developments such as greater institutional custody, spot ETF activity, changes in monetary policy, and periodic supply events have been prominent drivers of price action. Market liquidity and derivatives positioning also often amplify moves around specific timestamps.
Market prices on this event represent the market's consensus view of the likelihood of each discrete outcome at the settlement timestamp; they are dynamic and update as new information arrives. Use market odds as a real-time signal of market sentiment and information aggregation, not as guaranteed predictions.
Settlement will use the price source and methodology specified on this market's rules page; that page will state the exchange or index used and the precise timestamp used to read the spot price at 5pm EDT. Consult the event's resolution rules to see which consolidated feed or exchange price is authoritative.
Any price movement reflected in the official price feed at the specified 5pm EDT timestamp will be part of the settlement. Market participants should review the market's resolution policy for tie-breaking, late reports, or corrections if the authoritative feed is adjusted after initial publication.
Trading end times and the official resolution window are defined on the market page; because the market close is listed as TBD, check the platform for updates. Resolution typically occurs after the event timestamp once the authoritative price is published and any verification window passes.
Past examples include major central bank rate decisions and communications, surprise regulatory rulings, large ETF or custody product announcements, and exchange outages; these types of events have created sharp moves around precise settlement timestamps and are the kinds of catalysts traders monitor ahead of this event.
Price can be moved by a mix of participants: institutional traders and hedge funds executing large directional or hedging trades, market makers and liquidity providers adjusting quotes, miners or large holders moving supply to exchanges, and retail flows responding to news or technical triggers.