| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will settle in at 7:00 PM EDT on March 15, 2026 on Kalshi; it provides a time‑specific snapshot that traders use to express views or hedge exposure. It matters because a single timestamp captures the market's assessment after all prior news and trading that day.
Bitcoin has historically shown high intraday and longer‑term volatility driven by macroeconomic conditions, regulatory moves, liquidity flows (including ETF and institutional activity), and on‑chain fundamentals. By March 2026, factors like interest rate expectations, major regulatory announcements, institutional adoption, and miner economics are likely to remain important drivers. Market structure (exchange liquidity, indices used for settlement) also strongly affects the observed spot price at a single timestamp.
Prediction market odds for this event reflect traders' collective views about which price bucket will contain the official reference price at 7:00 PM EDT on March 15, 2026; odds change as new information arrives and as traders buy or sell specific outcomes.
The market's terms specify a settlement reference (for example a named index or exchange feed) and any averaging window; check the official Kalshi event description and rulebook for the precise named source and methodology.
Kalshi's contingency rules govern failures—common procedures include using an alternate pre‑specified source, a fallback index, or the last available print; the event page and platform rulebook detail the exact fallback sequence.
Pick a bucket based on your view of where the reference price will land relative to bucket boundaries, consider nearby buckets for hedging, and assess current market liquidity and order book depth before placing trades.
Yes—any information released before the 7:00 PM EDT timestamp can move market prices and thus affect which outcome settles, because settlement is based on the observed reference price at that exact time.
Settlement uses the specified reference mechanism (an index, a particular exchange, or an aggregated feed) defined in the event terms; that mechanism determines how cross‑exchange dispersion is resolved.