Bitcoin price on Mar 15, 2026 at 10pm EDT?

The market will settle according to the event’s published settlement rules on Kalshi: typically the reference price reported by the specified data source at the exact timestamp determines which outcome (price bucket) wins. Consult the event page and Kalshi’s rulebook for the precise reference source and tie-break procedures.

It means the full price range has been partitioned into 75 discrete outcome buckets, each corresponding to a defined interval of BTC prices; the bucket containing the reference price at the settlement time will be the winning outcome—check the event listing for the exact bucket boundaries.

'Closes: TBD' indicates Kalshi has not yet published the official trading cutoff. Exchanges commonly set trading to close minutes or hours before the settlement timestamp for risk management, but the exact cutoff for this market will be posted to the event page or announced by Kalshi.

You can trade if the market is open; zero historical volume just means no prior activity and likely lower liquidity and wider spreads. Settlement is unaffected by trading volume—the event will resolve according to the contract’s settlement rules regardless of how much volume occurred.

The event’s settlement rules and Kalshi’s dispute/fallback procedures govern such situations and often specify alternate data sources, time-weighted averages, or arbitration processes. Review the event terms and Kalshi’s official policies for the definitive contingency procedures.