| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,750 or above | 62% | 62¢ | 65¢ | — | $49K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 26% | 24¢ | 28¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 72% | 72¢ | 75¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 21% | 17¢ | 21¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 16% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 57% | 53¢ | 57¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 47% | 42¢ | 46¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 33% | 34¢ | 36¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 94% | 88¢ | 92¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 81% | 79¢ | 84¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 84% | 84¢ | 87¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 15% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 93% | 91¢ | 95¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 96¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 97¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 8% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $838 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $837 | Trade → |
| $75,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $455 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| $76,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $77,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot price of Bitcoin will be at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 10, 2026; it matters because it creates a time‑specific, tradeable view on Bitcoin’s value for that precise settlement moment. Traders, hedgers, and observers use it to express views or hedge exposures around that timestamp.
Bitcoin markets are characterized by high intraday volatility and sensitivity to both crypto‑specific developments (on‑chain activity, exchange flows, ETF and custody news) and broader macro factors (interest rates, risk sentiment). Over recent years institutional participation and new financial products have increased liquidity and correlated crypto moves with macroeconomic releases, while episodic exchange outages and regulatory actions have also driven sharp short‑term moves.
Market odds on this contract represent the collective expectations of traders about which discrete price bracket will hold at the settlement timestamp; they update continuously as new information and order flow arrive. Treat them as a real‑time consensus signal, not a guarantee of the realized price at settlement.
Settlement is determined by the market’s stated timestamp: 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 10, 2026. This corresponds to the instant indicated on the event page; consult the contract rules for conversion to other time zones and the official settlement protocol.
The event’s rulebook specifies the official price source or aggregated index used for settlement (often an industry index or a defined set of exchanges). Refer to the market’s terms for the exact feed and any fallback procedures if that feed is disrupted.
Each of the 40 outcomes corresponds to a predefined, mutually exclusive price bracket covering a continuous range; only the bracket that contains the official settlement price will resolve as the winning outcome. The event page lists the precise boundaries for each outcome.
Contract rules typically include procedures for data feed failures, outages, or extraordinary events, such as using an alternate index or a specified delay; in some cases the market operator may apply established fallback rules or dispute resolution processes. Check the event’s resolution policy to understand those contingencies.
News arriving shortly before the settlement snapshot can materially change the measured price because settlement uses a fixed timestamp; traders should consider market liquidity and potential spread widening at that moment, as thin liquidity can amplify the price impact of last‑minute information.