| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,999.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 29,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30,000 to 34,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35,000 to 39,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40,000 to 44,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45,000 to 49,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50,000 to 54,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55,000 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60,000 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65,000 to 69,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70,000 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75,000 to 79,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80,000 to 84,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85,000 to 89,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90,000 to 94,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95,000 to 99,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 100,000 to 104,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 105,000 to 109,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 110,000 to 114,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 115,000 to 119,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 120,000 to 124,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 125,000 to 129,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 130,000 to 134,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 135,000 to 139,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 140,000 to 144,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 145,000 to 149,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 150,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at the end of 2026; it matters because market prices aggregate expectations about macro, regulatory, and adoption developments that affect crypto valuations.
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital asset whose price has historically been driven by macroeconomic conditions, regulatory decisions, institutional adoption, and on‑chain dynamics. Since its inception it has gone through multiple high‑volatility cycles; outcomes for the end of 2026 will reflect developments after the 2024 halving, ongoing institutional product rollouts, and evolving global regulation.
Prediction market odds reflect the consensus of traders at any given moment and should be interpreted as a market snapshot of expectations rather than a guaranteed forecast. Because those odds change in real time, use them alongside independent research and a clear risk plan.
Settlement details — including the exact timestamp and the price source or index used to determine the reference price — are specified in the market's resolution rules on Kalshi; consult that page for the authoritative definition.
The 28 discrete outcomes partition the possible range of end‑of‑2026 prices into mutually exclusive buckets; an outcome pays if the official reference price at settlement falls inside that bucket as defined by the market rules.
The market close time is listed on the Kalshi market page (currently shown as TBD); timing matters because liquidity and volatility typically concentrate near settlement, so position timing and exposure should account for late arriving news.
Major drivers include central‑bank policy shifts, high‑profile regulatory actions or court rulings affecting crypto, approval or removal of institutional products (like ETFs), large exchange or custodian incidents, and unexpected macro shocks that reprice risk assets.
Use the market price as one real‑time input reflecting collective market expectations, combine it with fundamental and technical analysis, size positions to your risk tolerance, and avoid relying solely on market odds for long‑term capital allocation.