| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the Australian unemployment rate for February 2026 by buying outcomes tied to the official ABS figure. It matters because the unemployment rate is a widely watched indicator of labor market health and can influence monetary policy, markets, and business decisions.
Australia's unemployment rate is produced monthly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) from its Labour Force Survey and is closely watched by investors, policymakers, and employers. Recent years have seen volatility from factors such as pandemic recovery, migration flows, commodity cycles, and interest rate changes, all of which provide context for the Feb 2026 reading.
Prediction market prices reflect the market's aggregated expectations for the ABS-reported Feb 2026 unemployment rate and will move as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of collective market sentiment, but combine them with fundamental analysis and official data when making decisions.
Settlement is based on the official figure specified in the market contract, typically the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) labour force release for February 2026; check the market's contract terms on the platform for the exact source and field used for settlement.
Each outcome represents a distinct bucket or discrete value range for the ABS-reported unemployment rate as defined by the market; consult the market interface to see the exact ranges or labels assigned to the ten outcomes.
The market closes at the time specified by the platform (listed on the event page); resolution typically occurs after the ABS publishes its official February 2026 labour force release and the exchange confirms the settlement value per the contract rules.
Whether later ABS revisions affect settlement depends on the market's settlement rule (e.g., initial release versus final revised value); review the contract terms to see which ABS publication is used for final settlement.
Track monthly ABS labour force updates, payroll and jobs vacancy reports, RBA statements and minutes, major corporate hiring announcements, migration data, and key domestic or international economic shocks that could alter employment trends ahead of the February 2026 report.