| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1.6 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $1.7 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $1.8 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $1.9 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.0 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.1 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.2 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.3 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.4 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.5 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.6 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.7 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks participants to forecast the outcome of Australia Nominal GDP in 2026 and aggregates trading into a market view; nominal GDP measures the value of goods and services at current prices, so it reflects both output and price changes. It matters because nominal GDP is used in budget planning, debt ratios, and macroeconomic analysis.
Australia's nominal GDP in 2026 will be shaped by the post‑pandemic recovery, global commodity demand, and domestic policy settings; the country’s exposure to mining exports and services means external demand and commodity prices often matter as much as domestic activity. Historical context: Australia has had variable nominal growth driven by commodity price cycles, exchange rate movements, and domestic inflation trends, so year‑ahead nominal outcomes can diverge from real GDP movements.
Market prices on this contract reflect the collective expectations of traders and will change as new data and events occur; interpret prices as a real‑time sentiment indicator and consult the contract’s resolution terms to map prices to outcomes.
Resolution depends on the contract's published rules; many markets use the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) official national accounts for the calendar year 2026 or an officially reported annual nominal GDP aggregate. Check the contract description and resolution source on the market page to confirm the precise statistic and reporting period.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined bucket, threshold, or discrete value specified in the contract terms; the market page lists the exact boundaries or values for all 12 outcomes, so review those labels to understand how a reported nominal GDP number maps to an outcome.
Resolution typically occurs after the official ABS release that the contract references; depending on the contract that may be the final annual national accounts or a specified ABS release date. Because the market's close is listed as TBD, monitor the contract page and the referenced ABS release schedule for the exact resolution timing.
Watch ABS quarterly GDP releases and any interim revisions, major commodity price reports and export volumes, monthly inflation readings and wage data, RBA policy statements and minutes, the federal budget and major fiscal announcements, and unexpected shocks such as natural disasters or large international demand changes.
Low trading volume can mean lower liquidity and that prices are more sensitive to individual trades; use caution when interpreting signals from lightly traded contracts and consider combining market prices with fundamental data and the contract's resolution rules before drawing conclusions.