| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which month‑over‑month (MoM) inflation reading Argentina will report for March; it matters because monthly inflation captures near‑term price momentum and influences policy, markets, and wages.
Argentina has a history of high and variable inflation, with monthly readings influenced by currency moves, administered price adjustments, and fiscal and monetary policy decisions. Official monthly CPI figures are compiled by the national statistics agency and are watched closely by businesses, investors, and policymakers for signs of accelerating or decelerating inflation.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' expectations about which discrete outcome (one of six possible ranges) will contain the official MoM print; treat odds as a market snapshot of collective belief that updates as new information arrives.
The national statistics agency (INDEC) is the official source of the CPI report; monthly CPI releases typically occur in the weeks after the month ends, but exact release timing can vary so monitor INDEC's release calendar and news feeds.
It measures the percentage change in the consumer price index from February to March — that is, the change in average consumer prices that occurred during the month of March.
The six outcomes divide the range of possible MoM readings into mutually exclusive intervals; each outcome wins if the official INDEC release falls within that interval, so the market lets traders express beliefs about which interval will contain the actual March reading.
Relevant developments include sharp currency moves, announced tariff or subsidy changes that take effect in March, major shifts in food or energy prices, or new fiscal measures that alter demand or administered prices during the month.
Use recent monthly trends and seasonal patterns as context, but account for Argentina's frequent policy changes and discrete shocks; combine historical momentum with current data (exchange rates, administered‑price announcements, commodity trends) and be prepared for revisions or atypical shocks.