2028 Republican nominee for President?

Settlement typically occurs when the Republican Party officially nominates a candidate at its national convention or when the market operator specifies an alternative settlement event; because this market lists its close as TBD, check the market rules page for the official settlement trigger and any timing updates.

Each outcome generally corresponds to a named individual or an aggregate 'other' option as defined by the market operator; the operator may add, remove, or relabel outcomes per its rulebook, so consult the event description and updates on the market platform for changes.

Use this market as a complement to polls and endorsements: markets react quickly to news and reflect trader beliefs, while polls measure voter preferences at a point in time; divergence between markets and polls can indicate differing interpretations of momentum, turnout risk, or informed trading activity.

Major events include official campaign entry or withdrawal announcements, early primary or caucus results, high-profile debate performances, significant fundraising updates, major endorsements or defections, and legal or health developments involving candidates.

A declared incumbent candidacy usually concentrates market attention on that individual and often changes price dynamics quickly; however, markets will continue to reflect uncertainty about primaries, potential challengers, and formal nomination outcomes until the party convention finalizes the nominee.