| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Talarico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ruben Gallego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ro Khanna | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Shapiro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tim Walz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Cuban | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Buttigieg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wes Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Beshear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roy Cooper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| J.B. Pritzker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Fetterman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raphael Warnock | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen A. Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jared Polis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rahm Emanuel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Stewart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cory Booker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liz Cheney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Ossoff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gina Raimondo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phil Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lebron James | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elissa Slotkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dwayne Johnson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Yang | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jasmine Crockett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beto O'Rourke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Graham Platner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks who will be the Democratic Party's official nominee for president in 2028 on KALSHI; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about the outcome of the 2028 nomination contest. Traders use it to express views about the relative chances of named candidates and to price how events and news shift those expectations.
Nomination contests are decided through a mix of primary and caucus results, delegate allocation rules, and final convention procedures; historically, incumbents or well-organized front-runners have an advantage but contested primaries happen regularly. Early state results, national polls, fundraising and endorsements shape momentum; unforeseeable events and strategic withdrawals can reconfigure the race quickly. Because this market lists many outcomes, it reflects a wide set of potential nominees, including long-shot and draft campaigns.
Market odds and prices reflect the collective evaluation of traders based on available information and change as new information arrives; they are best read as a real-time consensus signal rather than a fixed forecast.
It means the market will remain open until the event resolution criteria are met per KALSHI rules; typically resolution occurs when the Democratic Party officially declares its nominee at the convention or when the platform's specified resolution condition is satisfied.
A large number of outcomes allows traders to express expectations about many individual candidates and scenarios; liquidity may be spread across outcomes, so market activity and price movement can vary widely between front-runners and lesser-known entries.
High cumulative volume indicates sustained trader engagement and liquidity over time, which generally makes price moves more informative; volume alone doesn’t guarantee predictive accuracy but helps ensure easier entry and exit for traders.
Resolution and platform handling depend on KALSHI’s specific market rules: withdrawn candidates may remain listed until the market resolves, be labeled accordingly, or be subject to refunding or reclassification per the event terms; check the market’s official rules and announcements for precise treatment.
Resolution is generally tied to the official nomination event defined in the market terms, which is usually the Democratic National Convention’s formal nomination; consult the market’s resolution clause for the exact triggering event and any exceptions.