💰
Financials OPEN

WTI oil price on Mar 9, 2026?

📊 $77K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$77K
Open Interest
59,579
Active Markets
38
Markets
38

Trade This Market

Yes Bid
Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (38)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
$105 or above 87%
87¢ 96¢ $14K Trade →
$100 or above 95%
94¢ 100¢ $9K Trade →
$91 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $7K Trade →
$93 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $6K Trade →
$99 or above 99%
95¢ 100¢ $6K Trade →
$103 or above 98%
88¢ 97¢ $5K Trade →
$101 or above 99%
96¢ 99¢ $5K Trade →
$94 or above 93%
95¢ 100¢ $4K Trade →
$104 or above 96%
83¢ 96¢ $4K Trade →
$102 or above 99%
95¢ 99¢ $4K Trade →
$87 or above 97%
97¢ 100¢ $3K Trade →
$90 or above 98%
98¢ 100¢ $2K Trade →
$92 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $2K Trade →
$85 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $1K Trade →
$95 or above 90%
81¢ 100¢ $1K Trade →
$80 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $1K Trade →
$98 or above 99%
81¢ 100¢ $905 Trade →
$89 or above 95%
88¢ 100¢ $765 Trade →
$96 or above 55%
56¢ 100¢ $487 Trade →
$86 or above 98%
94¢ 100¢ $442 Trade →
$82 or above 90%
99¢ 100¢ $389 Trade →
$88 or above 95%
79¢ 100¢ $151 Trade →
$97 or above 94%
61¢ 100¢ $100 Trade →
$75 or above 99%
90¢ 100¢ $100 Trade →
$69 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $98 Trade →
$76 or above 67%
67¢ 100¢ $50 Trade →
$83 or above 98%
99¢ 100¢ $47 Trade →
$81 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $20 Trade →
$84 or above 99%
99¢ 100¢ $10 Trade →
$68 or above 91%
99¢ 100¢ $5 Trade →
$70 or above 94%
99¢ 100¢ $5 Trade →
$71 or above 94%
99¢ 100¢ $2 Trade →
$73 or above 0%
30¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$72 or above 0%
50¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$78 or above 0%
94¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$77 or above 0%
15¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$79 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
$74 or above 0%
27¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which WTI crude oil price range will apply on March 9, 2026, letting traders take positions on discrete outcomes tied to that date. It matters because the WTI price on a specific calendar day encapsulates supply, demand, macroeconomic signals, and geopolitical risks that affect energy markets and financial portfolios.

WTI (West Texas Intermediate) is a widely followed U.S. crude benchmark whose daily level is shaped by global production, U.S. output, inventory data, and macroeconomic trends. Historical patterns show that oil prices can move sharply around inventory releases, OPEC+ announcements, seasonal demand shifts, and unexpected supply disruptions. Traders in this market aggregate information about those drivers into prices for the outcomes available here.

Market prices for each outcome reflect the collective view of participants about which price range WTI will fall into on March 9, 2026 and will change as new information arrives. Use those prices as a real‑time signal of market expectations, remembering they are driven by participant beliefs, liquidity, and news flow.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

When exactly does this market resolve and which published price determines the winning outcome for Mar 9, 2026?

The market resolves to the official WTI price on March 9, 2026 as specified in the event's resolution rules; the event page lists the exact reference price and the cutoff time used for settlement.

How are the 27 outcomes defined and how can I tell which one will pay out given the settlement price on Mar 9, 2026?

Each outcome corresponds to a specific price interval or bucket shown on the event page; the outcome whose interval contains the platform's published settlement price for that date is the winner and pays out according to the market rules.

Which scheduled reports or meetings between now and March 9, 2026 are most likely to move this market?

Expect sensitivity around weekly national inventory releases, major monthly oil/energy reports, OPEC+ ministerial meetings, and major macro releases (e.g., employment, inflation, and central bank decisions) that change demand or cost expectations.

How would an unexpected geopolitical shock shortly before March 9 affect this market's outcomes?

A sudden supply disruption or escalation in a major producing region would typically prompt rapid re‑pricing across outcomes as traders assess the likely duration and scale of the shock; the market price will reflect that updated information up to the platform's cutoff for the event.

If the data provider publishes multiple WTI-related prices (spot, front‑month futures), which one is used to resolve this event?

The event's resolution specification names the exact price source and type used for settlement; if you need clarification about that data source or tie‑breaking rules, consult the event page or the platform's resolution policy.

Related Markets