| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,600 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 76% | 75¢ | 81¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 7% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 20% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 28% | 32¢ | 41¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 6% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 98% | 86¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 98% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 93% | 93¢ | 97¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 8% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 94% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $955 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 98% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $828 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $555 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $500 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $347 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 94% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $230 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $186 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $149 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $115 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $108 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 94% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $90 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $72 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $28 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 7,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026; it matters because the closing level captures market expectations and will determine settlement across the market's discrete outcomes.
Index levels reflect a mix of monetary policy, economic data, corporate earnings, and geopolitical developments that drive equity prices. Around early March markets often react to scheduled macro releases and earnings-season spillovers, so short-term swings can be driven by those catalysts as well as unexpected news.
Odds in this market represent the crowd's aggregated view of which discrete price outcome is most likely and change as participants trade; they are a dynamic signal of market sentiment and liquidity rather than a guaranteed prediction.
It is the official published value of the S&P 500 index at the 4:00:00 PM EDT market close on March 9, 2026, as reported by the primary price reporting sources used for settlement.
The 60 outcomes correspond to the discrete price buckets or point levels defined by the market; the platform's outcome list for this event shows the exact boundaries and settlement rules for each outcome.
If an official closing price at 4:00 PM EDT is not available due to halts or delays, the platform will apply its published contingency/resolution rules; participants should review the platform's resolution policy for specifics.
No. The settlement value is the index level at the official 4:00 PM EDT close; trades or quotes outside regular hours do not change that reported closing value.
Track scheduled macro releases, Fed calendar items and speaker schedules, earnings from large index components, major geopolitical developments, and real-time measures of market volatility and liquidity; also watch platform order book depth and recent volume to gauge participation.