| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74.0 or above | 94% | 92¢ | 94¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| $73.00 to 73.99 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $72.00 to 72.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $71.00 to 71.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $70.00 to 70.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $69.00 to 69.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $68.00 to 68.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $67.00 to 67.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $66.00 to 66.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $869 | Trade → |
| $63.00 to 63.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $752 | Trade → |
| $64.00 to 64.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $752 | Trade → |
| $65.00 to 65.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $723 | Trade → |
| $61.00 to 61.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $452 | Trade → |
| $60.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $452 | Trade → |
| $62.00 to 62.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $452 | Trade → |
This market asks what the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price will be on March 6, 2026; it matters because that price point reflects expectations about supply, demand, inventories, and geopolitical risk at a specific settlement date. Traders use this market to hedge exposure or express views on near-term oil fundamentals ahead of that date.
WTI is the US benchmark for crude traded on futures exchanges and is driven by global crude production, refining demand, inventory levels, and macroeconomic conditions. Since oil prices respond quickly to policy moves (e.g., OPEC+ decisions), supply disruptions, and economic data, markets leading into March 6, 2026 will price in developments such as production plans, seasonal demand shifts, and any major geopolitical events. The market has 15 discrete outcomes, each representing a specific price bucket or level for that date.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregate market view of which price bucket is most likely on the settlement reference time; they update as new information arrives. Treat odds as a dynamic signal of consensus sentiment, not a fixed prediction—events between now and Mar 6 can move them quickly.
Each outcome corresponds to a defined price bucket or exact-price level listed on the market page; check the market's outcome labels and rules for the precise price ranges that determine which outcome wins at settlement.
The market close is listed as TBD on the platform; settlement typically occurs after an official reference price for WTI is published at a specified time on Mar 6, 2026—consult the market rules or settlement details on the event page for the exact timing and benchmark source.
Moves close to settlement often reflect new supply/demand data, official statements (e.g., OPEC+), inventory releases, or short-term geopolitical shocks; such moves can materially change which outcome is most likely, so consider both fundamental news and market liquidity when assessing last-minute shifts.
Regular weekly inventory reports (API/EIA) and monthly/often quarterly macro data (industrial production, PMI, employment reports), as well as any announced OPEC+ meetings, sanctions actions, or major policy statements, are the most likely scheduled events to move expectations for that date.
Hedgers (producers and refiners), speculative traders (funds and prop desks), physical traders arranging cargoes, and algorithmic/liquidity providers can all influence price formation; large coordinated actions by state producers or unexpected supply disruptions tend to produce the biggest short-term impacts.