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WTI oil price on Mar 31, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
25
Markets
25

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (25)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
$93 or above 0%
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$94 or above 0%
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$95 or above 0%
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$96 or above 0%
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$97 or above 0%
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$98 or above 0%
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$99 or above 0%
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$100 or above 0%
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$101 or above 0%
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$102 or above 0%
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$103 or above 0%
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$104 or above 0%
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$105 or above 0%
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$106 or above 0%
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$107 or above 0%
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$108 or above 0%
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$109 or above 0%
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$110 or above 0%
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$111 or above 0%
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$112 or above 0%
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$113 or above 0%
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$114 or above 0%
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$115 or above 0%
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$116 or above 0%
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$117 or above 0%
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About This Market

This market asks what the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price will be on March 31, 2026; outcomes let traders express views on the level of the benchmark at that specific date. It matters because the WTI price on that day influences trading, hedging decisions, and signals market expectations about supply and demand conditions going into Q2 2026.

WTI is a primary U.S. crude benchmark whose price reflects global supply and demand dynamics, regional production trends, and macroeconomic conditions. Since 2020, oil pricing has been shaped by swings in demand, changes in OPEC+ policy, U.S. shale responsiveness, and periodic geopolitical disruptions; those same forces will be central to the price environment leading up to March 31, 2026. Market participants also watch inventories, refinery activity, and major consuming countries for signals about near-term demand.

Prediction market odds on this event represent the market's aggregated view of the likelihood of each listed price outcome, updating as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time gauge of sentiment and as a complement to futures, spot markets, and fundamental analysis rather than as a single definitive forecast.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly does an outcome on this market represent: a single price, a price range, or an index value for Mar 31, 2026?

Each outcome corresponds to the specific outcome format defined on the event page (for example a price band or labeled level); read the market's rules and outcome definitions to see whether settlement uses a single published WTI price or a range and which price source will be used for settlement.

When will trading close for this market and when will the event be settled?

The event page specifies trading close and settlement procedures; typically trading closes before settlement, and final settlement occurs after the official price for March 31, 2026 is published by the designated reference source—check the market rules for exact timestamps and the settlement source.

How will major geopolitical news that occurs in the days immediately before March 31, 2026 affect this market?

Significant geopolitical developments near the date can quickly shift market-implied expectations by changing perceived short-term supply risk or logistical constraints; the market will incorporate that news in real time, often showing rapid moves as participants reassess risk premia and likely settlement outcomes.

How should I compare this prediction market’s view for Mar 31, 2026 with prices in CME/NYMEX futures that reference nearby delivery months?

Use the prediction market as a sentiment and event-specific expectation tool while recognizing futures reflect continuous, tradable prices, carry and storage costs, and liquidity; also verify whether the prediction market settles to the same reference (spot or specific contract) used by futures before making direct comparisons.

What historical patterns or seasonality should I consider when evaluating the WTI price specifically on March 31, 2026?

Consider late-winter/early-spring seasonality (refinery maintenance and the transition into summer demand cycles), typical inventory draw or build patterns, and historical sensitivity to sudden supply disruptions; combine seasonal context with current inventory reports and forward-looking demand indicators for a fuller view.

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