| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 to 100.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 to 102.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $93 to 93.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $92.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 to 94.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 to 95.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 to 96.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 to 98.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 to 97.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $104 to 104.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $105 to 105.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 to 99.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $101 to 101.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $106 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $103 to 103.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks where the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price will be on March 20, 2026; it matters because oil prices affect inflation, production decisions, and financial markets. Traders use such markets to express views and hedge exposure to near-term oil-price moves.
WTI is the U.S. crude benchmark traded on futures exchanges and is influenced by global supply and demand, OPEC+ policy, U.S. production, and macroeconomic conditions. Seasonal demand patterns, inventory cycles, and any major geopolitical events between now and March 20, 2026 can create rapid price swings and change market expectations.
Odds in this market summarize the consensus view of participants about possible WTI price outcomes on the settlement date; interpret them as a measure of collective expectations and risk pricing rather than a certainty. Because prices update continuously, use the market odds as a snapshot of current sentiment and combine them with fundamental analysis before trading.
Resolution follows the rules posted on the market page; consult the KALSHI market description for the official benchmark, publication source, and time window used to determine the reported WTI price for that date.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range or bucket listed on the market page; review the outcome labels on KALSHI to see how the WTI price maps into those defined ranges at settlement.
The market close time is specified on the KALSHI event page; if the close is still shown as TBD, monitor the page for an announced close time or consult KALSHI support for schedule updates.
Look at past WTI price behavior around mid‑March, seasonal inventory patterns, recent futures curve dynamics, and the latest supply/demand reports to gauge how likely different price ranges are relative to current market conditions.
Key items include OPEC+ meeting statements, U.S. weekly inventory reports, major economic indicators (PMIs, employment, inflation), U.S. drilling activity updates, and any geopolitical developments affecting major producers.