| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $103 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $90 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $89 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $91 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $101 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $92 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price band or price level West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will be at on March 19, 2026; it matters because oil prices affect energy companies, inflation, and broader financial markets.
WTI price outcomes reflect the balance of supply and demand in global oil markets, influenced by factors such as production decisions by major exporters, U.S. shale activity, inventory data, and macroeconomic growth trends. In the 2020s the market has also been shaped by energy transition policies, varying post-pandemic demand patterns, and evolving geopolitical tensions that can create supply shocks.
Prediction market prices represent the market's aggregated expectations about where WTI will be on the settlement date and will move as new information arrives; they are signals to incorporate, not guarantees, and are governed by the event's specific settlement rules on the platform.
Settlement will follow the platform's published event rules and use an industry-standard WTI price reference observed on March 19, 2026 at the specified timestamp; check the KALSHI event page for the exact reference source and time used for settlement.
The market's closing time is posted on the platform (currently listed as TBD); settlement will be based on the WTI price on March 19, 2026 per the event's settlement conditions, so monitor the event page for the final close and settlement announcement.
Key scheduled items include weekly petroleum inventory reports, monthly OPEC+ meetings or communiqués, major economic releases (growth, employment, industrial production), and central bank decisions that affect global demand expectations — any of these can materially update expectations for the Mar 19 price.
Announced changes to quotas, voluntary cuts or increases, and signaling about future policy by OPEC+ and large producers shift supply expectations and can move market pricing for the Mar 19 outcome; traders also watch actual compliance and unexpected production disruptions for additional information.
Treat market prices as a real-time consensus that incorporates many information flows, but combine them with fundamental analysis (supply/demand, inventories, geopolitical risk) and be mindful of liquidity, short-term news sensitivity, and the market's settlement mechanics before making trading or hedging decisions.