| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $92 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $101 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $106 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $104 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $103 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $105 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price will be on March 17, 2026; it matters because WTI is a benchmark for energy markets and influences trading, fiscal balances, and fuel costs.
WTI is the key U.S. crude benchmark widely quoted in futures and physical markets; its price on a given date reflects a mix of global supply, U.S. production, inventory levels, and macroeconomic conditions. Oil prices have been subject to large swings from geopolitical events, OPEC+ policy, and economic cycles, so markets for a specific date embed expectations about those drivers.
Prediction market prices represent the aggregated view of traders and respond in real time to news and data; use them as a timely market signal rather than a guaranteed forecast, and combine them with fundamental and technical analysis when forming a view.
The event description on the trading platform will specify the precise settlement benchmark (for example, a NYMEX front‑month settlement, a spot benchmark, or an exchange-published price) and the exact timestamp used for settlement; check that field before trading.
Settlement follows the criteria listed in the event rules: the platform will use the designated price source and timestamp named in the event description to determine the official WTI level for settlement.
Only the price recorded by the specified source at the event’s stated settlement time matters; news after that timestamp will affect subsequent market prices but will not retroactively change the settled value.
Look at recent WTI futures and spot price trends, U.S. inventory levels over the prior weeks, seasonal demand patterns for March, and any major supply disruptions or policy announcements in the preceding months.
Key pre‑event items include the EIA weekly petroleum status report, any OPEC+ meetings or ministerial statements, major macro releases (e.g., U.S. inflation and industrial activity), and industry data such as the Baker Hughes rig count.