| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $103 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $89 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $91 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $90 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $92 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi prediction market asks which price-range outcome West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will fall into on March 16, 2026. It matters because the WTI price on that date influences energy costs, inflation dynamics, and decisions by producers, consumers, and financial market participants.
WTI crude price movements reflect a history of supply shocks, demand swings, geopolitical events, and policy responses; markets since 2020 have experienced pronounced volatility from pandemic disruptions, geopolitical conflicts, and changing production patterns. Over multi-year horizons, investment in upstream capacity, the pace of the energy transition, and inventory cycles also shape price trajectories. This market captures traders' collective expectations for the specific settlement date of March 16, 2026.
Market prices on Kalshi reflect the aggregate views of participants and update as new information arrives; they indicate which outcomes traders currently favor but are not guarantees of future prices. Treat the market price as a real-time signal that incorporates known information and sentiment leading up to settlement.
This market offers 15 discrete outcomes representing pre-defined WTI price ranges; the winning outcome will be the range that contains the official reference price for WTI on March 16, 2026. The exact numeric boundaries for those ranges are listed on the market contract page.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event header; Kalshi typically posts the official trading close and settlement timeline on the contract page. Settlement will occur based on the designated reference price for WTI on March 16, 2026 and finalize according to the platform’s published rules.
The contract uses a specific published benchmark or exchange-derived reference price as its settlement source; the precise data vendor or exchange and the method of determining the settlement price are specified in the contract’s settlement rules—consult the market page for the authoritative source.
Key movers include OPEC+ meetings and any changes to announced quotas, major geopolitical developments affecting producers, unexpected large changes in U.S. production or inventory reports, significant global economic data that alters demand expectations, and supply interruptions from weather or major infrastructure outages.
You can take positions on the outcome(s) you expect to align with your exposure—buy outcomes that reflect a price range you think likely or sell outcomes to hedge against adverse moves—while considering contract granularity, liquidity, fees, margin rules, and the settlement methodology. Review platform rules and your risk tolerance; this information is educational and not personalized financial advice.