| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $98 or above | 37% | 32¢ | 37¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $84.99 or below | 24% | 21¢ | 27¢ | — | $347 | Trade → |
| $97 to 97.99 | 8% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $234 | Trade → |
| $96 to 96.99 | 6% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $125 | Trade → |
| $86 to 86.99 | 8% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $119 | Trade → |
| $94 to 94.99 | 8% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $101 | Trade → |
| $88 to 88.99 | 8% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $87 to 87.99 | 8% | 3¢ | 7¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| $93 to 93.99 | 6% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $89 to 89.99 | 8% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| $91 to 91.99 | 8% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| $90 to 90.99 | 8% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $92 to 92.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $85 to 85.99 | 2% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $95 to 95.99 | 0% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which WTI crude oil price range will apply on March 13, 2026; it provides a market-based signal about expectations for oil fundamentals on that specific date. Traders use it to express and discover views about supply, demand, and geopolitical risk that affect energy markets.
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) is the U.S. crude benchmark whose price reflects a mix of domestic production, global supply dynamics, and refined demand. Oil prices are influenced by OPEC+ policy, U.S. shale output and inventories, global economic activity (notably demand from large consumers like China and India), and episodic geopolitical or weather disruptions. This market lists 15 discrete outcome ranges and the stated close time is currently TBD; consult the event page for any timing updates.
Prediction market odds are tradable prices that reflect the collective expectations of participants about which price range will be true on March 13, 2026; they update as new information arrives and incorporate both fundamental views and short-term flows. Treat odds as a live signal that summarizes market sentiment, not as a definitive forecast.
The market contains 15 mutually exclusive outcomes, each representing a defined WTI price range on March 13, 2026; only the outcome that matches the official settlement price for that date will resolve as the winner.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; once the platform sets a cutoff it will be posted there. Settlement will follow the market's stated rules and use the designated data source and timestamp for the official WTI price on March 13, 2026, so check KALSHI's event rules for the exact methodology.
The event will resolve using the specific benchmark and data vendor named in the event's settlement rules on the platform; common sources are exchange front-month settlement prices or published WTI benchmarks—refer to the event description for the precise vendor and timestamp.
Monitor supply-side announcements (OPEC+ meetings, production outages), weekly inventory reports, major macro releases and central bank actions, and geopolitical developments; these items can change expectations quickly, so update positions and risk sizing as new, credible information arrives.
Participants typically include speculators, commodity funds, macro traders, hedgers such as producers and refiners, and algorithmic liquidity providers; large public announcements from major producers or coordinated policy actions can materially shift the market consensus reflected in the odds.