| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $88 or above | 28% | 28¢ | 32¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $90 or above | 30% | 27¢ | 44¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $91 or above | 25% | 19¢ | 28¢ | — | $693 | Trade → |
| $89 or above | 26% | 24¢ | 54¢ | — | $461 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 45% | 7¢ | 27¢ | — | $322 | Trade → |
| $101 or above | 13% | 5¢ | 44¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 10% | 8¢ | 55¢ | — | $16 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 52% | 20¢ | 47¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 49% | 3¢ | 43¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 18% | 6¢ | 41¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 7¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $92 or above | 0% | 22¢ | 56¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 5¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 7¢ | 75¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 0% | 10¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil will settle at on March 11, 2026; outcomes let traders express views on the published WTI reference price for that date. It matters because the WTI level is a widely watched benchmark that influences fuel costs, producer revenues, and macroeconomic indicators.
WTI is the U.S. crude benchmark traded on major exchanges and reflects the balance of physical supply and demand, futures positioning, and expectations about global growth. Between now and March 11, 2026, OPEC+ decisions, U.S. production and exports, inventory reports, and macroeconomic data will all shape market expectations. Because oil markets respond quickly to geopolitical events, weather, and policy announcements, volatility around the settlement date can be significant.
Prediction market prices represent the collective view of traders about which price bucket the published WTI reference will fall into on March 11, 2026 and will move as new information arrives. For the exact settlement source and timestamp that determine which outcome wins, consult the market's official rules on Kalshi.
The market's contract rules list the designated public benchmark (for example a specific exchange settlement or spot index) and the exact timestamp that will be used for resolution; consult the event page for the authoritative source and time — that published number will determine the winning outcome.
Each of the 15 outcomes corresponds to a labeled price interval covering the relevant range; the event page shows the boundary values or labels for each bucket so you can see which outcome covers a particular price band.
The trading close time is specified on the event page; if it is listed as TBD, check the market details for updates — platforms commonly close trading shortly before the official settlement timestamp, but the exact close time is determined by the market rules.
The market will follow Kalshi's published resolution and contingency procedures: these may include using an alternate approved data provider, a backup timestamp, or an administrative determination; check the market rules for the hierarchy of fallback sources and the dispute resolution process.
Regularly scheduled items that commonly move WTI include weekly EIA and API inventory reports, OPEC+ ministerial meetings or announcements, major central bank policy decisions that affect global growth and the dollar, and key macroeconomic releases such as manufacturing and employment data.