| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $86 or above | 82% | 51¢ | 62¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $84 or above | 23% | 26¢ | 92¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $87 or above | 78% | 43¢ | 78¢ | — | $905 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 48% | 6¢ | 42¢ | — | $840 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 57% | 10¢ | 54¢ | — | $822 | Trade → |
| $91 or above | 65% | 17¢ | 65¢ | — | $722 | Trade → |
| $85 or above | 61% | 50¢ | 87¢ | — | $581 | Trade → |
| $88 or above | 52% | 47¢ | 51¢ | — | $437 | Trade → |
| $90 or above | 33% | 34¢ | 47¢ | — | $346 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 38% | 6¢ | 30¢ | — | $282 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 30% | 8¢ | 27¢ | — | $211 | Trade → |
| $92 or above | 58% | 11¢ | 58¢ | — | $57 | Trade → |
| $89 or above | 31% | 12¢ | 79¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 25% | 2¢ | 44¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 48% | 2¢ | 39¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
This market asks what the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price will be on March 10, 2026; it matters because WTI is a key global benchmark that influences energy markets, trade balances, and many commercial contracts.
WTI is a widely followed US light sweet crude benchmark whose single-day level reflects the balance of supply, demand, inventories, and market sentiment at that moment. Prices are driven by factors such as OPEC+ production policy, U.S. shale output, macroeconomic growth and inflation expectations, and near‑term disruptions or demand shocks. Because day-to-day oil prices can be volatile, this event captures market expectations for that specific calendar date rather than long-term averages.
Prediction market prices aggregate participant beliefs about which outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; treat the market as a real‑time consensus indicator, not a guaranteed forecast.
It measures the official price reference specified in the contract for WTI on that calendar date; the event description on the platform defines the exact pricing source, time window, and instrument used to determine the outcome.
Settlement follows the market operator's published rules: the external price source named in the contract will be referenced after March 10, 2026 and the outcome will be determined according to the event’s settlement procedure — check the contract page for the exact settlement timing and source.
Each outcome represents a mutually exclusive price interval or band specified on the event page; review the outcome labels on the contract to see the exact price boundaries assigned to each of the 15 options.
Key movers include OPEC+ announcements, U.S. weekly EIA inventory updates, major macro releases (e.g., employment, CPI), unexpected supply disruptions, and large shipping or refinery outages; late-breaking news close to the reference time can have especially large impacts.
Participants range from individual traders and speculators to institutional market makers and hedgers; prices reflect the aggregate trading activity and information those participants bring into the market ahead of the March 10 reference date.