| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 6% | 6¢ | 14¢ | — | $252 | Trade → |
| 157.000 to 157.249 | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | — | $76 | Trade → |
| 155.500 to 155.749 | 7% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $67 | Trade → |
| 156.750 to 156.999 | 18% | 10¢ | 19¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 1¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.250 to 156.499 | 0% | 4¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 8¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.000 to 156.249 | 0% | 1¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 155.750 to 155.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 155.499 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.500 to 156.749 | 0% | 7¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM EST on March 5, 2026; it matters because that timestamp captures a specific settlement point traders and hedgers can use to express or transfer views on near-term FX risk.
USD/JPY is driven by differences in U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, macroeconomic data, and risk sentiment; historical episodes of yen volatility have been amplified by central-bank communications and occasional official intervention. The market offered here is broken into 15 discrete outcomes that map to specific price levels or ranges listed on the event page, allowing traders to take fine-grained views on the pair at that exact timestamp.
Market odds are an aggregate of participant expectations and incoming information; they update as news and order flow arrive and should be read as conditional signals rather than guaranteed predictions.
Resolution is based on the official price feed and timestamp specified in the event rules on the platform; the event page lists the named data source and the precise convention used to determine the USD/JPY quote at 10:00 AM EST.
The 15 outcomes correspond to the discrete price levels or ranges shown on the market page; only the outcome whose range contains the reported settlement price at 10:00 AM EST will settle as the winning outcome.
Closes are listed as TBD on this summary; check the event page for the final trading cutoff—platforms commonly set a last-trade time at or shortly before the settlement timestamp to ensure orderly resolution.
Monitor major U.S. macro releases (e.g., employment and inflation prints), Bank of Japan or Fed communications, and any country- or market-specific announcements; check a live economic calendar for exact timings and the event page for possible related disclosures.
The platform's resolution policy (listed on the event page) describes contingencies—common approaches include using an alternate data provider, the nearest available quote, or a predefined averaged price; consult the event rules or support for the exact fallback procedure.