| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.249 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.500 to 160.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.750 to 160.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 161.000 to 161.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 161.250 to 161.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 161.500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on March 30, 2026. It matters because that snapshot captures how monetary policy, macro releases, and risk events are reflected in the FX rate at a specific, tradeable moment.
USD/JPY is driven by the interest-rate differential between the United States and Japan, the Bank of Japan's policy framework (including any yield-curve control or normalization steps), and occasional intervention by Japan's Ministry of Finance. Leading into March 2026, traders will focus on the evolving Fed/BOJ policy stances, inflation and growth data, and any geopolitical or financial shocks that alter risk sentiment.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' expectations about which price range will prevail at the snapshot time; interpret them as a real-time consensus that can change as new information arrives.
The settlement is based on the USD/JPY spot exchange rate at the exact timestamp specified by the market. Check the platform's rules to see which data feed or aggregation method is used to determine that snapshot.
Any Fed or BOJ speeches, U.S. macro releases (e.g., employment, inflation, Treasury auctions), or late-breaking Japanese data and weekend geopolitical developments can move the pair; consult the economic calendar for that specific date to see scheduled items.
Yes. MOF/BOJ intervention can meaningfully move the yen; if intervention occurs before the snapshot it will influence the recorded spot rate and thus which outcome settles. Such actions can also sharply raise short‑term volatility.
10:00 AM EDT corresponds to late evening in Japan (around 23:00 JST) and falls within the European/US trading window, so liquidity is typically driven by London and New York participants while Tokyo domestic activity is subdued—this can change how order flow moves the price.
Each outcome represents a specific price bucket or interval defined in the event description; read the outcome labels and the market's settlement rules to understand the exact boundaries and whether endpoints are inclusive, since small price moves near a boundary determine which outcome pays out.