| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157.249 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which USD/JPY spot price will prevail exactly at 10:00 a.m. EDT on March 26, 2026; it matters to FX traders, hedgers, and anyone with time‑specific exposure to USD/JPY. Outcome prices at a fixed timestamp are used to settle short‑term directional and range bets and to hedge intraday exposure.
USD/JPY movements reflect the interaction of U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, macroeconomic releases, risk sentiment, and occasional official intervention; over recent years market focus has included relative interest rates and BoJ policy signaling. The market for this timestamp captures all news and flows that materialize up to that precise moment, including overnight Asian session developments and U.S. morning surprises.
Prediction‑market odds here represent the market’s collective view across 15 discrete price outcomes at that timestamp and will update as new information arrives; they are a market‑implied distribution, not a guaranteed forecast. Use the odds as a real‑time gauge of consensus sentiment and liquidity rather than a deterministic prediction.
Settlement follows the event’s rulebook: the specified FX data feed or consolidated spot rate at the exact timestamp is used. Consult the market’s settlements/rules page for the authoritative source and any aggregation method.
The market divides the range of possible USD/JPY spot values into 15 discrete outcome buckets defined on the event page; each outcome corresponds to a price interval or exact price specified in the event description—check the event listing for the precise bucket boundaries.
Typical market‑moving releases include U.S. employment, inflation, and retail data published in the U.S. morning, plus any Japanese CPI/GDP releases or BOJ statements issued earlier; surprises in those reports can shift USD/JPY rapidly before settlement.
Intervention is discretionary and often unpredictable; if authorities intervene it can cause abrupt, large moves in the spot rate and corresponding rapid shifts in market odds. Markets typically react immediately, so intervention risk raises tail‑event uncertainty around the settlement time.
Consider outcome bucket granularity versus your exposure, market liquidity and bid/ask spreads near settlement, timing of correlated news releases, and the operational steps to convert positions to physical FX if needed; factor in that odds and liquidity can change sharply in the hours before 10am EDT.