| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.000 to 157.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on March 25, 2026, providing a time‑specific view of dollar/yen value. It matters because the USD/JPY level at a precise timestamp is a focal point for traders, hedgers, and macro observers who monitor interest differentials, policy decisions, and risk sentiment.
USD/JPY is historically driven by differences in U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, global risk appetite, and Japan’s intervention policy. In recent years the pair has been sensitive to shifts in Fed and Bank of Japan guidance, movements in U.S. Treasury yields, and episodes of safe‑haven demand or direct FX intervention by Japanese authorities.
Odds in this market reflect the collective trading view of where the spot USD/JPY rate will be at the specified timestamp and will move as new information arrives. Treat the market as a real‑time aggregator of expectations, but confirm settlement methodology on the event page for precise interpretation.
The market will settle to the USD/JPY spot price at the specified timestamp as defined by KALSHI's settlement rules. Consult the event page or platform rulebook for the exact data feed or reference rate used for settlement.
The 15 outcomes correspond to the discrete price buckets or specific values listed on the event page; each outcome represents a different range or point for USD/JPY at the settlement time — check the outcomes table on the market page for exact boundaries.
10:00 AM EDT is 14:00 UTC and 23:00 Japan Standard Time; it falls in the North American trading morning when U.S. market activity and U.S. Treasury trading are typically high, while Tokyo domestic trading is closed — this timing can concentrate liquidity and influence volatility patterns.
Look for U.S. macro releases (employment, inflation measures), Treasury supply announcements, and any Fed communications published before or at the timestamp; also review the BoJ schedule and Japanese data earlier in the day. Check an economic calendar for precise items on March 25, 2026.
Rapid changes in odds reflect new information or order flow affecting expectations for the exact USD/JPY level at 10:00 AM EDT — they can signal updated views on policy, unexpected data, liquidity shocks, or concentrated positioning, but also can be exaggerated in low‑liquidity conditions.