| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.749 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.750 to 156.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.000 to 157.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM EDT on March 23, 2026; it matters because that timestamp is a snapshot traders use to express views or hedge exposures tied to a precise settlement moment.
USD/JPY is driven by the interaction of U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, differential interest rates, and global risk sentiment; historical episodes show the pair can move suddenly around central bank communications, key data releases, or official FX intervention. Market participants should view this contract in the context of those structural drivers and any events scheduled in the days leading up to March 23, 2026.
Prediction market odds reflect collective market expectations about the price at the specified timestamp and change as new information arrives; they are an information signal, not a guaranteed forecast.
Resolution will use the price data source and rules specified in the contract description (e.g., a particular data vendor and whether the mid, bid, or ask is used); consult the market's settlement rules for exact vendor, rounding, and tie-breaking procedures.
The official trading-close time is set by the market operator and may be posted on the event page; if the page lists the close as TBD, watch for updates from the platform because trading windows sometimes end shortly before the resolution timestamp to allow settlement.
The 15 outcomes correspond to discrete price buckets or specific price points defined in the market listing; review the event description to see the exact ranges/boundaries and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive.
Events that commonly move USD/JPY include major U.S. data releases (inflation, employment, GDP), Federal Reserve communications, BOJ policy announcements or speeches by BOJ officials, and any Japan-specific inflation or intervention signals—monitor the economic calendar for items falling shortly before the resolution time.
Use the market to express a directional view or to offset tail exposure tied to the precise settlement time, but account for differences in execution (spot/forward markets versus a prediction contract), liquidity, settlement mechanics, and the need to size positions relative to real-world FX exposures.