| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.500 to 160.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.499 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY spot exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM EDT on March 20, 2026, and matters because that specific snapshot captures how market participants expect monetary policy, macro data, and risk sentiment to be priced at a precise moment.
USD/JPY is heavily influenced by differences in U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, global risk appetite, and flows from exporters, importers, and carry traders. Historical episodes show that unexpected central bank communication or direct intervention by Japanese authorities can produce rapid moves; participants should consider these structural sensitivities when evaluating outcomes. For this March 20, 2026 snapshot, watch developments in the days immediately preceding the resolution time, since they set the intraday trajectory.
Prediction market odds summarize the market’s collective expectation for which discrete price range will contain the USD/JPY spot at the stated timestamp; they update as new information arrives and are not guarantees of the eventual outcome.
The event’s contract terms specify the designated price source and method (for example, a particular real‑time FX data feed or consolidated midpoint) used to determine the spot at the resolution timestamp; consult the market’s official rules or event page for that designated source.
Tie‑breaking and boundary rules are defined in the contract terms for the market; common approaches include assigning the exact value to the outcome that explicitly includes the boundary or following a predefined rounding convention—check the event rules for the specific procedure.
The market’s close time may be listed on the event page; if it is marked TBD, monitor the event page for updates. Exchanges commonly stop accepting new orders shortly before the resolution time to ensure an orderly settlement process.
A BOJ surprise or direct intervention can produce abrupt yen moves and materially change which outcome is realized; because such actions are sometimes sudden, they can create sharp volatility right up to the resolution timestamp and will be reflected in the designated price source used for settlement.
Macroeconomic releases close to the resolution time typically increase volatility and can shift market expectations quickly; participants should note the exact release time relative to 10:00 AM EDT, since the immediate price reaction will be captured by the settlement method specified for this event.