| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.249 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be on Mar 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT; it matters because that timestamp is used by traders, hedgers, and macro participants to lock in views or hedge exposures to dollar/yen movements.
USD/JPY is driven by differences in U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, global risk sentiment, and flows from carry and portfolio adjustments. In recent years markets have been sensitive to Bank of Japan communications, U.S. inflation and growth data, and episodic geopolitical shocks — all of which can shift the cross rapidly around a fixed settlement time.
Prediction market prices reflect the market’s aggregated expectations for which price-range outcome will settle at that timestamp and should be used alongside fundamentals, technicals, and an economic calendar. Odds evolve as new information arrives and do not replace direct risk management or official quotes.
It refers to the spot USD/JPY quote at that precise timestamp. 10:00 AM EDT on Mar 19, 2026 is 14:00 UTC and 23:00 JST; USD/JPY is quoted as yen per one U.S. dollar and the market will use the settlement rule specified by the event (check the market’s resolution mechanics).
Check the economic calendar for U.S. releases (e.g., inflation, employment, retail sales) and any Fed communications scheduled in the days before Mar 19, plus Japanese data and BOJ announcements or speeches; also verify market holidays in either jurisdiction that could affect liquidity.
BOJ guidance, policy tweaks, or unexpected commentary can shift expectations for Japanese rates and JPY strength; tightening guidance or hints at policy normalization typically strengthens the yen, while additional easing or dovish signals often weaken it — effects can be acute close to the settlement timestamp.
The multiple outcomes represent discrete price ranges that will resolve based on the spot price at settlement; use them to express granular views, construct range-based hedges or spreads, and account for liquidity and transaction costs since narrower ranges may have less depth.
Yes — March can feature corporate fiscal-year flows in Japan, quarter-to-date portfolio adjustments, and positioning ahead of central bank meetings; these recurring calendar effects can add liquidity or volatility before the Mar 19 settlement depending on corporate and institutional behavior.